Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.472499 0.545036 0.624009 0.716246 0.820883 0.935761 1.071299
2025-08-24 0.344462 0.442135 0.559026 0.708605 0.894255 1.116377 1.401486
2025-08-31 0.265664 0.369521 0.502896 0.685439 0.927282 1.235012 1.654279
2025-09-07 0.233550 0.346556 0.500102 0.721739 1.030775 1.443238 2.031562
2025-09-14 0.192913 0.303781 0.462386 0.702633 1.053348 1.541768 2.267249
2025-09-21 0.161576 0.268692 0.429306 0.683451 1.070068 1.629291 2.490314
2025-09-28 0.137598 0.240724 0.402234 0.668258 1.088461 1.717516 2.717920
2025-10-05 0.124576 0.228089 0.396627 0.684283 1.153974 1.878607 3.063989
2025-10-12 0.116885 0.223084 0.402209 0.717929 1.249032 2.090759 3.502695
2025-10-19 0.107367 0.213433 0.398610 0.735350 1.318349 2.266533 3.895724
2025-10-26 0.097498 0.201699 0.389838 0.742489 1.370227 2.416854 4.257019
2025-11-02 0.087684 0.188652 0.377058 0.740797 1.405946 2.541871 4.583697
2025-11-09 0.077777 0.174287 0.360607 0.731407 1.428406 2.648149 4.890373
2025-11-16 0.069181 0.161398 0.345504 0.722975 1.451846 2.757996 5.211770
2025-11-23 0.060104 0.146122 0.323824 0.699329 1.444335 2.811588 5.436559
2025-11-30 0.058062 0.145923 0.332476 0.736300 1.554945 3.085949 6.076123
2025-12-07 0.051099 0.133546 0.314328 0.716840 1.553541 3.152903 6.339071
2025-12-14 0.045003 0.122255 0.297102 0.697300 1.549801 3.214365 6.594677
2025-12-21 0.039956 0.112720 0.282561 0.681824 1.552613 3.287898 6.877074
2025-12-28 0.037658 0.109754 0.282550 0.698148 1.622948 3.498041 7.437112
2026-01-04 0.036682 0.110084 0.290227 0.732419 1.734118 3.796517 8.188974
2026-01-11 0.034735 0.107530 0.290720 0.750163 1.810647 4.029452 8.823343
2026-01-18 0.032354 0.103422 0.286935 0.757435 1.864432 4.218745 9.380076